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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 0
Cerezo

Nagakura (87')
Hoshi (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
42.14% (0.719 0.72) 24.84% (0.167 0.17) 33.02% (-0.883 -0.88)
Both teams to score 57.57% (-0.854 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (-0.997 -1)45.59% (1.003 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (-0.957 -0.96)67.92% (0.962 0.96)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)21.65% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (-0.132 -0.13)54.77% (0.139 0.14)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-1.007 -1.01)26.53% (1.012 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (-1.357 -1.36)61.73% (1.362 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 42.14%
    Cerezo Osaka 33.02%
    Draw 24.84%
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.14%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.242 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 21 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-3 Albirex Niigata
Friday, September 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, September 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Cerezo
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 30 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League


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