SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 57.94%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (6.95%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
57.94% ( -0.18) | 20.29% ( 0.1) | 21.77% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.4) | 32.84% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.45% ( -0.46) | 54.54% ( 0.46) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( -0.17) | 11.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.07% ( -0.38) | 35.92% ( 0.37) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.16) | 27.85% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( -0.21) | 63.45% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 57.94% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 21.77% |
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