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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Nov 25, 2023 at 5am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hara (20')
Sato (90+8')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Cerezo
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKyoto Sanga
55.45% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 23.43% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 21.12% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.106 -0.11)48.14% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (-0.096 -0.1)70.3% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)17.21% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.51% (-0.119 -0.12)47.49% (0.116 0.12)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)37.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)73.92% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 55.44%
    Kyoto Sanga 21.12%
    Draw 23.43%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 55.44%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Cerezo
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 30 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, September 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 3-2 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, September 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, September 15 at 11.30am in J1 League


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