Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.