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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2020 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
5 - 2
Cerezo

Wakizaka (21'), Ienaga (42' pen.), Kobayashi (53'), Mitoma (75'), Damiao (77')
Morita (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mendes (7'), Seko (58')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
56.87%23.47%19.66%
Both teams to score 49.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9%50.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92%72.07%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59%17.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16%47.84%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54%76.46%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 56.86%
    Cerezo Osaka 19.66%
    Draw 23.46%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.69%
4-0 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 56.86%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 19.66%


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