Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.