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J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 1, 2020 at 11am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Cerezo


Saito (21'), Oiwa (59'), Mawatari (71'), Kaneko (76'), Elyounoussi (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kiyotake (72' pen.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawCerezo Osaka
29.05%27.88%43.07%
Both teams to score 46.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.84%59.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.41%79.6%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78%36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99%73.01%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36%62.64%
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 29.05%
    Cerezo Osaka 43.07%
    Draw 27.87%
Shonan BellmareDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 29.05%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 12.83%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 8.35%
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 43.07%


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