Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.