Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Tokyo in this match.