Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.