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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 21, 2021 at 11am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
3 - 3
FC Tokyo

Kato (46'), Sakamoto (57'), Tiago (74')
Matsuda (59'), Matsuda (88'), Tiago (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leandro (13', 82'), Oliveira (39')
Morishige (67')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
45.71%28.46%25.83%
Both teams to score 42.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.45%62.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.86%82.13%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56%27.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08%62.91%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.2%40.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62%77.38%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 45.7%
    FC Tokyo 25.83%
    Draw 28.44%
Cerezo OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 14.47%
2-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 8.39%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 25.83%

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