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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Aug 9, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
1 - 0
FC Tokyo

Sento (7')
Seok-Ho (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oumari (31')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sagan Tosu in this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
37.81%27.69%34.5%
Both teams to score 48.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85%57.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99%78.01%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38%67.62%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 37.81%
    FC Tokyo 34.49%
    Draw 27.68%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.49%

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