Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Consadole Sapporo in this match.