J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
63.36% ( -1.26) | 20.86% ( 0.13) | 15.77% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( 2.26) |
| 54.7% ( 1.62) | 45.3% ( -1.63) |
| 32.36% ( 1.53) | 67.64% ( -1.54) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 86.36% ( 0.13) | 13.64% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.18% ( 0.26) | 40.81% ( -0.27) |
| 58.42% ( 2.53) | 41.57% ( -2.53) |
