Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.