Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.