Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.