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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Sep 19, 2020 at 10am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 2
Kashima Antlers

Mendes (36')
Seko (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alano (32'), Stum (46')
Misao (39')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashima Antlers
36.13%27.06%36.8%
Both teams to score 50.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37%54.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04%75.96%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01%28.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11%64.88%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61%64.38%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 36.13%
    Kashima Antlers 36.79%
    Draw 27.06%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.79%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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