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J1 League | Gameweek 1
Feb 27, 2021 at 7am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 0
Reysol

Okubo (42'), Sakamoto (85')
Maruhashi (31'), Takagi (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamijima (35')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
40.83%26.7%32.47%
Both teams to score 51.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.35%53.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86%75.14%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14%25.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17%60.83%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15%30.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87%67.13%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 40.82%
    Kashiwa Reysol 32.47%
    Draw 26.69%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.82%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.47%

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