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J1 League | Gameweek 11
Mar 3, 2021 at 9am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 2
Cerezo

Damiao (7', 47'), Mitoma (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Okubo (5', 22')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 12.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
70.32%17.58%12.1%
Both teams to score 51.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.37%38.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07%60.93%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.17%9.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.37%32.63%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.25%42.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92%79.08%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 70.31%
    Cerezo Osaka 12.1%
    Draw 17.58%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 7.43%
4-0 @ 5.07%
4-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-0 @ 2.35%
5-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.83%
6-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.31%
1-1 @ 8.28%
0-0 @ 4.2%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.58%
0-1 @ 3.57%
1-2 @ 3.52%
0-2 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 12.1%

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