Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
