Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.