Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.