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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Oct 10, 2020 at 7am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
4 - 3
Vissel Kobe

Olunga (20', 44'), Esaka (39', 52')
Takahashi (72')
Takahashi (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tanaka (60', 75'), Iniesta (87' pen.)
Kikuchi (61')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawVissel Kobe
48.66%23.61%27.73%
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41%42.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35%64.99%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71%48.29%
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47%28.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69%64.31%
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 48.66%
    Vissel Kobe 27.73%
    Draw 23.6%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawVissel Kobe
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.66%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.73%


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