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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

Bangunagande (4'), Oliveira (21')
Koizumi (19'), Oka (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hiraga (79')
Toyokawa (9'), Sato (56'), Hirato (63')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawKyoto Sanga
42.94% (-0.573 -0.57) 25.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 31.1% (0.587 0.59)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (0.293 0.29)51.06% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (0.255 0.25)72.92% (-0.259 -0.26)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.152 -0.15)23.62% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.22 -0.22)57.71% (0.217 0.22)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (0.557 0.56)30.47% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.659 0.66)66.69% (-0.661 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 42.93%
    Kyoto Sanga 31.1%
    Draw 25.95%
FC TokyoDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.095 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 13 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 7 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Urawa
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, March 29 at 10am in J1 League


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