Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
45.83% ( 0.13)	24.86% ( -0)	29.31% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8% (

-0.04)

47.2% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

-0.04)

69.43% (

0.04)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35% (

0.04)

20.65% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.78% (

0.07)

53.22% (

-0.06)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

-0.11)

29.77% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

-0.13)

65.84% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 45.83%

Kyoto Sanga 29.31%

Draw 24.86%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.7% Total : 45.83%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 29.31%