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J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 18, 2022 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Kyoto Sanga

Leandro (28'), Adailton (78')
Watanabe (81'), Morishige (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shirai (60')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Yokohama
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawKyoto Sanga
45.83% (0.128 0.13) 24.86% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.31% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)47.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)69.43% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)20.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.78% (0.066000000000003 0.07)53.22% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.105 -0.11)29.77% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.129 -0.13)65.84% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 45.83%
    Kyoto Sanga 29.31%
    Draw 24.86%
FC TokyoDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 29.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 3-6 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse
Sunday, August 7 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Yokohama
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Reysol
Saturday, August 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League


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