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J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 21, 2024 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Machida Zelvia

Ogashiwa (21' pen.)
Cklamovski (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Na (14'), Oh (25')
Fujimoto (22')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 13 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawMachida Zelvia
30.88% (-1.381 -1.38) 26.39% (0.417 0.42) 42.73% (0.964 0.96)
Both teams to score 51.63% (-1.865 -1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-2.156 -2.16)52.92% (2.157 2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-1.87 -1.87)74.52% (1.87 1.87)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-2.031 -2.03)31.58% (2.033 2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-2.409 -2.41)67.97% (2.41 2.41)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.47 -0.47)24.55% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.667 -0.67)59.02% (0.66800000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 30.88%
    Machida Zelvia 42.72%
    Draw 26.39%
FC TokyoDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.262 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.638 0.64)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.76 0.76)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.435 0.44)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 13 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 7 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Urawa
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 16 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Hiroshima
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League


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