Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Machida Zelvia
30.88% ( -1.38)	26.39% ( 0.42)	42.73% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.08% (

-2.16)

52.92% (

2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

-1.87)

74.52% (

1.87)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

-2.03)

31.58% (

2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02% (

-2.41)

67.97% (

2.41)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

-0.47)

24.55% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97% (

-0.67)

59.02% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 30.88%

Machida Zelvia 42.72%

Draw 26.39%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.76) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.72%