Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Chiangrai United had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Chiangrai United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.