Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.