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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 18, 2020 at 11am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
Oita Trinita

Usami (37' pen.), Ademilson (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watari (33')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Oita Trinita.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawOita Trinita
49.21%24.84%25.94%
Both teams to score 53.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.34%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94%20.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72%52.27%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58%33.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95%70.04%
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 49.21%
    Oita Trinita 25.94%
    Draw 24.84%
Gamba OsakaDrawOita Trinita
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 49.21%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.35%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.94%


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