Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.