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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Jul 22, 2020 at 11am UK
Suita City Football Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 0
Hiroshima

Miura (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vieira (61')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
41.5%27.01%31.5%
Both teams to score 49.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87%55.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62%76.38%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82%26.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73%61.27%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72%32.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 41.49%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 31.5%
    Draw 27%
Gamba OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.5%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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