Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
