Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
