J1 League | Gameweek 31
Sep 22, 2024 at 10am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yamazaki (18'), Nishiya (62')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Sagan Tosu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.
| Result |
| Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
44.71% ( -0.71) | 24.62% ( 0.3) | 30.67% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.33% ( -0.83) |
| 54.55% ( -1.19) | 45.45% ( 1.18) |
| 32.21% ( -1.14) | 67.78% ( 1.14) |
| 79.57% ( -0.79) | 20.42% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.13% ( -1.27) | 52.86% ( 1.27) |
| 72.05% ( -0.32) | 27.95% ( 0.32) |
