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J1 League | Gameweek 26
Aug 11, 2024 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Patric (7')
Shigehiro (61'), Langerak (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tsunashima (82')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawTokyo Verdy
40.35% (0.014999999999993 0.01) 28.74% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 30.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.84% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (-0.035 -0.04)81.37% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)29.86% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)65.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)36.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.85% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 40.34%
    Tokyo Verdy 30.91%
    Draw 28.73%
Nagoya GrampusDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.34%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.73%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, June 30 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-4 Brighton
Sunday, July 28 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-2 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League


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