Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
40.35% ( 0.01)	28.74% ( 0.01)	30.91% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.84% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.49% (

-0.05)

61.51% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.62% (

-0.04)

81.37% (

0.03)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14% (

-0.02)

29.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05% (

-0.02)

65.95% (

0.02)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

-0.05)

36.07% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

-0.05)

72.85% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 40.34%

Tokyo Verdy 30.91%

Draw 28.73%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.34%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.73%	0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.91%