Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.