Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Jubilo Iwata |
41.47% ( -0.25) | 23.53% ( 0.03) | 35.01% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 62.92% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.15% ( -0.11) | 38.85% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.84% ( -0.12) | 61.16% ( 0.12) |
Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( -0.15) | 19.11% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.26% ( -0.26) | 50.74% ( 0.26) |
Jubilo Iwata Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( 0.07) | 22.22% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% ( 0.09) | 55.64% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Jubilo Iwata |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.4% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.01% |
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