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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 2, 2024 at 9.13am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Ienaga (5', 18')
Takai (53'), Tachibanada (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chang-Rae (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, May 25 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawNagoya Grampus
43.63% (-0.896 -0.9) 25.41% (0.208 0.21) 30.96% (0.689 0.69)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.2% (-0.603 -0.6)48.8% (0.603 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1% (-0.549 -0.55)70.9% (0.54900000000001 0.55)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.67 -0.67)22.31% (0.67 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (-1.016 -1.02)55.78% (1.015 1.02)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (0.16699999999999 0.17)29.43% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (0.205 0.2)65.42% (-0.205 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 43.63%
    Nagoya Grampus 30.96%
    Draw 25.4%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.233 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, May 25 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, May 19 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 5-2 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Consadole
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-1 Urawa
Friday, May 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-3 Nagoya Grampus
Monday, May 6 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Friday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League


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