J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 10am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale
There is very little to split these teams in terms of their league position, and that is likely to be reflected in the match this weekend.
Both need to get three points to push themselves away from the relegation zone, but the cautious approach of not wanting to lose could lead to them sharing the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result |
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
38.93% ( -0.11) | 24.61% ( -0.05) | 36.46% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( 0.22) |
| 56.14% ( 0.27) | 43.86% ( -0.26) |
| 33.75% ( 0.26) | 66.25% ( -0.26) |
| 77.55% ( 0.07) | 22.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.01% ( 0.1) | 55.99% ( -0.09) |
| 76.26% ( 0.21) | 23.74% ( -0.21) |
