Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.