Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.