Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.