Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.