Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.