SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashima Antlers | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 50.66% | 24.95% | 24.38% |
| Both teams to score 51.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% | 51.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% | 72.88% |
| Kashima Antlers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.58% | 52.42% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% | 35.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.55% | 72.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashima Antlers | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 1% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.38% |
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