Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.