Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.