Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
