Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.