Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
