Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.51%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.