Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.