Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.