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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 28, 2023 at 9am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 0
Reysol

Kobayashi (21'), Noborizato (45+1')
Kobayashi (76'), Schmidt (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Muto (57')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama FC 2-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, May 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 20 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 15.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawKashiwa Reysol
62.18% (0.032999999999994 0.03) 22.47%15.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.62% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)52.62% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)74.27% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.44% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)46.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.4% (-0.101 -0.1)46.59% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.82% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)82.18% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.18%
    Kashiwa Reysol 15.34%
    Draw 22.47%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 13.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.51% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.39% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 62.18%
1-1 @ 10.56%
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 22.47%
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 15.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama FC 2-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, May 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Kawasaki
Friday, May 12 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, April 23 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, May 13 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Reysol
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Reysol
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League


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